Weekly Review 17/01/10



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Weekly Review :-

The key indices didn't move much during the week as concerns about
soaring inflation offset stronger than expected IIP data and positive
announcements on PSU disinvestment. Even stellar results from IT giant
Infosys and other leading lights of India Inc. failed to cheer up the
bulls. At the same time, select Small-Cap and Mid-Cap stocks continued
to outperform the frontline counters.

Next week again things may remain volatile even as the earnings
announcements accelerate and investors weigh their options. The Nifty
might conquer the 5300 milestone but will face resistance in its
journey to 5400 and beyond. On the way down, it will find support at
5200 and 5100. The road ahead will not be smooth and one will have to
deal with several road blocks. So, stay on guard and wait for more
clarity before jumping the gun.

The US markets will be shut on Monday in observance of the Martin
Luther King Jr
. holiday. Among the key US data points to keep an eye
on will be the reports on Housing Starts and Building Permits. China
will come out with its latest GDP data, along with reports on CPI and
industrial production. A slew of economic reports are also due from
the UK and European markets. As far as India is concerned, no major
economic report is scheduled, except for the weekly inflation in Food
and Fuel baskets.

Q3 Results - Next Week :-

3i Infotech, Asian Paints, BASF India, Bharti Airtel, BHEL, Biocon,
Container Corporation, Dr. Reddy's, Godrej Consumer, Gail India, GTL
Infra, Grasim, HDFC, HDIL, HT Media, HCC, Hindustan Zinc, ICRA, ITC,
ICICI Bank, Idea Cellular, Indiabulls Real Estate, Infotech
Enterprises, Jaiprakash Associates, JSW Steel, Jubilant Organosys,
Kotak Mahindra Bank, KPIT Cummins, L&T, Mindtree, MRPL, Mahindra
Holidays, M&M, Mahindra Lifespaces, Maruti Suzuki, Neyveli Lignite,
ONGC, Punj Lloyd, Piramal Healthcare, Philips Carbon Black, Praj
Industries
, Petronet LNG, Polaris Software, Reliance Industries, SRF,
Sesa Goa, Shriram Transport, Sterlite Technologies, Shree Cements, Sun
TV, Tata Power, Tech Mahindra, TVS Motor, United Spirits, Wipro,
Welspun Gujarat, Welspun India, Yes Bank and Zee Entertainment.

Stock Beeps 17/01/10

-Hindustan Copper leads gainers in 'A' group
-IDBI Bank advances on higher Q3 net profit
-Axis Bank hits 52-week high after healthy quarterly earnings
-Automotive Axles accelerates on robust Q1 numbers
-Shipping stocks set sail on rally in Baltic dry index
-Strong Q3 outcome generates interest in HDFC Bank
-IndusInd Bank banks on robust quarterly earnings
-UCO Bank capitalises on strong Q3 numbers
-Maruti Suzuki recovers on a likely hike in car prices
-Overseas acquisition buzz sweetens Shree Renuka Sugars
-Bombay Dyeing strikes 52-week high as promoter revokes pledged shares
-GTL Infrastructure slips on profit booking
-DS Kulkarni Developers slides as promoter pledges additional shares
-Tata Metaliks jumps 10% in three days on turnaround Q3 results
-CMC hardens on higher Q3 net profit
-Divestment hopes catapult PSU stocks
-Maharashtra Seamless gains on new order win
-Engineers India soars as Govt plans 10% stake sale
-Overseas order boosts Hanung Toys
-R.Com gains as unit gets nod for IPO


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Prem market analysis 11/01/10

The first week of 2010 started off nicely for the markets with indices
closing near 22-month-high.

On the BSE, the Sensex ended 0.43 per cent or 75 points higher at
17,540 and the Nifty on the NSE inched up by 0.84 per cent or 44
points to 5,245. However, the real action was in midcap and smallcap
stocks, both the BSE Midcap and smallcap indices moved up by 3.4 per
cent and 4.1 per cent.

Strong FII buying and positive comments from the Prime Minister that
India will return to 9-10 per cent growth rate kept the sentiment
positive. Whether the market can sustain and bui-ld on last year's
gains will depend on corporate earnings, the government's willingness
to keep reforms on fast track and no negative surprises from global
markets. Near-term direction of markets will depend on third quarter
earnings season
.

For the week ahead, chartists predict a trading band of 17,160-18,000
for the Sensex and 5,080-5500 for the Nifty. Immediate supports exist
at 17,320 and 17,080 and 5,160 and 5,080.

Expect resistance to the indices on upside at 17,740 and 17,960 and
5,330 and 5,420.

The directional movement could be negative in short term, if the
indices fall below 17,200 and 5,175. The movement of indices in narrow
range clearly indicates that individual stocks would do better than
the indices.

A strong rupee triggered selling pressure in IT stocks. However, the
results of Infosys will set the tone for the sector in the week ahead.
Savvy players are buying into Wipro, OFSS, Tech Mahindra, Moser Baer
and Mphasis. Buy Mphasis for a target price of Rs 825.

The profit booking in auto stocks likely to be short lived. Use sharp
declines to accumulate Ashok Leyland and M&M. Metal and cement stocks
are likely to continue their upward journey after a mild sell off.

Ahead of RBI's credit policy review, heightened activity indicated in
banking counters. Buy private banks like Axis Bank and Kotak Bank for
short term gains. Realty stocks are beginning to show good strength.
Hold Unitech, IBREL and DLF for gains.

Among the side counters, India Infoline, Petronet LNG, Sun TV,
Nagarjuna Const. and HCC are good for a target of Rs 175, Rs 90, Rs
390, Rs 195 and Rs 185.

Sebi's plan to standardise lot sizes for F&O stocks would make it
convenient for the traders to remember lot sizes and improve volumes
in the derivative segment.



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